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Real-time market headlines from the FinancialJuice wire — central banks, FX, commodities and macro — streaming as they break. Tap any headline to read the full story.
Effective Fed funds rate 3.63% July 28th vs 3.63% July 27th.
TSMC following Japan Earthquake: We are inspecting equipment at Kumamoto fab, and conducting recovery. We expects inspections and calibrations to take some time. $TSM
Israeli Official: Vice President Vance met on Tuesday with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. Secretary of Defense Hegseth will meet Netanyahu today - Axios' Ravid.
MUFG FOMC Scenarios - FJElite
JPMorgan's Feroli on Fed Rate Expectations - FJElite
South Korean Finance Ministry: South Korea is going to prepare legal grounds for market stabilising measures in case of an emergency.
Goldman Sachs Analyst on Upcoming Fed Rate Decision - FJElite
South Korean Finance Ministry: South Korea are to maintain 24-hour stock market monitoring system.
South Korean Finance Ministry: South Korea are to cap retail exposure to leveraged ETF investment.
US Sentiment: Trump To Hit Iran Hard, FOMC Hike? - FJElite
South Korean Finance Ministry: South Korea pledges more steps to stabilize the stock market.
Trump: US and Saudi strikes were coordinated with the Iraqi government.
Trump To Fox: we'll be hitting Iran hard.
Trump on Iran: Going to let them keep talking - Fox Interview.
Trump: US strikes will take place against Iran in response to attacks on US targets in Jordan - Fox.
Secured overnight financing rate: 3.65% July 28th vs 3.64% on July 27th
US Interest Rate Futures Pricing Ahead of the FOMC Meeting Today - FJElite
US Interest Rate Prep: 30% Chance of a Hike, Is Today the Day? - FJElite
German government spokesperson on excess profit tax for oil companies: There is openness to the idea, but there are also significant legal obstacles
Iraq President Rejects use of Iraqi territory to launch attacks
Iraq's Hezbollah al Nujaba: Will not allow US or Saudi forces to "desecrate Iraqi soil without paying a heavy price"
Iraq's Presidency: Rejects using the country's territory to attack neighbouring countries - Statement
Iraq's presidency: Attacks were in violation of the country's sovereignty - Statement
Iraq's presidency condemns attacks on popular mobilization forces after US-Saudi strikes - Statement
Israeli military: Hezbollah launched a drone toward a vehicle in the area of Ali al-Taher Ridge within the 'security zone' in Lebanon
IDF accuses Hezbollah of 'blatant violation’ of ceasefire
Romania approves key reforms to tap €3B in EU recovery funding
Discounts on Russian Urals crude drop to $1-2 a barrel vs. Brent in India - Sources
$PG Procter & Gamble Q4 Earnings
US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate Actual 6.76% (Forecast -, Previous 6.69%)
US MBA Mortgage Applications Actual -6.4% (Forecast -, Previous 1.9%)
Iran's state TV, citing an official: US projectile hit Iran's northwestern Piranshahr city, no casualties
US strike hits near Piranshahr in Iran's West Azerbaijan - IRIB
‘Enemy projectile’ hits Iran's West Azerbaijan province - Fars
China's shipping fleet expected to be exempted from any Houthi fee system - Sources
Yemen's Houthis are considering imposing fees on commercial ships sailing through the southern Red Sea - Sources
JPM Euro Area - FJElite
UK's PM Burnham: Will bring forward social care review by a year to 2027
German 10 Yr Bund Yield Actual 3.13% (Forecast -, Previous 3.09%)
German 10 Yr Bund Bid-to-Cover Actual 1.1 (Forecast -, Previous 1)
Zelenskiy to meet Premier Tusk in Lublin, Poland - RMF
IDF: Struck weapons storage facility in Gaza City mosque
ECB's Patsalides: If higher oil prices persist, inflation risks rise
ECB's Patsalides: We don't know how September data will be
Japan-linked vessels exit Persian Gulf by Iran route - Kyodo
Westpac Morning Report - FJElite
BoE Consumer Credit Actual 1.807B (Forecast 1.7B, Previous 1.662B)
UK M4 Money Supply Actual 0.8% (Forecast -, Previous 0.1%)
UK Mortgage Lending Actual 7.727B (Forecast 3.9B, Previous 2.889B)
UK Mortgage Approvals Actual 58.2k (Forecast 57.1k, Previous 56.205k)
Ukraine’s President Zelenskiy: Ukraine strikes russian oil refinery in Perm region
Iraq's PM: Saudi strikes killed 20 and injured more than 30
Italian Industrial Sales MoM Actual 0.6% (Forecast -, Previous 0.3%)
Swiss ZEW Expectations Actual 10 (Forecast -, Previous -25.0)
SNB Interest Rate Probabilities
RBA & RBNZ Interest Rate Probabilities
BoJ Interest Rate Probabilities
BoC interest Rate Probabilities
BoE Interest Rate Probabilities
ECB Interest Rate Probabilities
Fed Interest Rate Probabilities
Commodities Implied Voatility
FX Implied Volatility
US Index Futures implied Volatility
Top S&P 500 Stock Names Implied Volatility
120-Day Correlation Matrix
90-Day Correlation Matrix
60-Day Correlation Matrix
30-Day Correlation Matrix
Japan's Dep. Chief Cabinet Sec. Kihara: Won't prejudge the use of reserve funds for quake relief
At least 20 of Iraq’s Iran-backed Shi'ite popular mobilisation forces members killed in US-Saudi strikes - Statement
Currency Strength Chart: Strongest: JPY, CHF, GBP, CAD, EUR, NZD, USD, AUD - Weakest
Hitachi: Mideast situation hits revenue by 16 billion Yen in Q1
Iraqi prime minister calls for urgent security meeting after Saudi and US strikes - Statement
Swedish GDP YoY Advance Actual 2.8% (Forecast -, Previous 2.0%)
Jordan: it intercepted five missiles launched from Iran - state news agency
Russian online retailer Wildberries evacuates logistics hub in Ryazan, Tass reports
Taiwan stocks fall 5% as chip downturn intensifies
Bank of England investigates Asian equity exposure at prime brokers - FT
Timing and extent of policy response to hinge on upcoming data, economic conditions
Bok Gov Shin: Policy response timing and extent to depend on upcoming data, economic conditions
Bank of Korea Governor Shin: maintaining tightening stance most rational to curb core inflation
Taiwan shares fall over 3%
China's central bank carries out overnight reverse repos on Wednesday with borrowing cost at 1.25%, unchanged from previous operation in June: sources
Industrial plant in Russia’s Ryazan catching fire after drone strike: regional governor
Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces: Attacks kill several, wound others
Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces: U.S., Saudi Troops Strike PMF Headquarters Across Iraq
China finance ministry to sell 15 billion yuan government bonds in Hong Kong on Aug 5
South Korea finance minister: internally reviewing methods to stabilize domestic stock market
Zuckerberg: banning advanced Chinese AI in US not an effective solution - FT
Mark Zuckerberg: US should not prohibit Chinese AI - FT
Iran's Revolutionary Guards: Three oil tankers hit and halted in Strait of Hormuz after ignoring warnings - state TV
Australian CPI YoY Actual 4.0% (Forecast -, Previous 4.1%)
Australia Q2 CPI (all groups) rises 4.0% yr/yr, slightly below poll of 4.1%
China cbank injects 600 billion yuan via overnight reverse repos: statement
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards say ballistic missiles struck U.S. air base and military command center in Jordan - Iranian state TV
RBA Weighted Mean CPI YoY Actual 3.6% (Forecast -, Previous 3.5%)
RBA Weighted Median CPI QoQ Actual 0.7% (Forecast -, Previous 0.8%)
Australia Q2 RBA weighted median CPI rises 3.6% yr/yr, poll expected 3.7%
Australia at 2 rba trimmed mean cpi rises 3.6% yr/yr (poll 3.7%)